Van Horn leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Van Horn typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Van Horn, ~21% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Van Horn compares
Van Horn runs about 5 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Van Horn. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+45) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 29 points.
Why Van Horn leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Van Horn, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Van Horn live in densely developed areas, about 33 points below the Texas average of 35%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Van Horn sits in the bottom quarter (about 16%, below 75% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Van Horn, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Van Horn looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Van Horn is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 10 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 28% of households in Van Horn rent, above 81% of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Van Horn sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lobo, TX R+37
- Sierra Blanca, TX R+61
- Valentine, TX R+35
- Salt Flat, TX R+36
- McNary, TX R+24
- Fort Davis, TX R+51
- Toyah, TX R+50
- Fort Hancock, TX R+22
- Balmorhea, TX R+50
Cities with Similar Populations
- Carbon Cliff, IL Even
- Chenoa, IL R+38
- Mc Gaheysville, VA R+32
- Whiting, WI Even
- Blue Hill, ME D+3
- Pleasant Hill, OH R+63
- Hermon, ME R+10
- Hope, MI R+38
- Pepeekeo, HI D+30
- Prosperity, WV R+46
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.