Blue Hill is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 87% of adults in Blue Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Blue Hill, ~45% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Blue Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Blue Hill leans more Democratic than 33 of 77 neighbors.
Politically, Blue Hill sits close to the rest of Maine.
Why Blue Hill leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Blue Hill. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Blue Hill, ME sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Blue Hill looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Blue Hill is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 61%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- East Blue Hill, ME D+6
- Sedgwick, ME D+13
- South Penobscot, ME D+9
- Surry, ME D+15
- Penobscot, ME D+7
- Brooksville, ME D+22
- Sargentville, ME D+14
- West Ellsworth, ME D+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Van Horn, TX R+18
- Chenoa, IL R+38
- Wilmington, VT D+35
- Prosperity, WV R+46
- Mc Gaheysville, VA R+32
- Pepeekeo, HI D+30
- Carbon Cliff, IL Even
- Hope, MI R+38
- Hermon, ME R+10
- Whiting, WI Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.