Lunenburg leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Lunenburg typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lunenburg, ~24% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lunenburg compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lunenburg leans more Republican than 32 of 61 neighbors.
Lunenburg runs about 30 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Lunenburg is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lunenburg. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+26) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Lunenburg leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lunenburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Lunenburg live in densely developed areas, about 21 points below the Virginia average of 26%. Lunenburg runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Lunenburg, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Lunenburg looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in Lunenburg own their home, about 17 points above the Virginia average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fort Mitchell, VA R+26
- Pleasant Grove, VA R+26
- Rehoboth, VA R+42
- Victoria, VA R+24
- Kenbridge, VA R+18
- Plantersville, VA R+43
- Scotts Crossroad, VA R+24
- North View, VA R+23
- Ontario, VA R+24
- Keysville, VA R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Casa Colorada, NM R+25
- Rock City, AL R+83
- Hutchins, IA R+51
- Hoyes, MD R+61
- Purcell, PA R+77
- Grier City, PA R+44
- Merry Oaks, KY R+65
- Grove Lake, MN R+55
- Menomonie Junction, WI R+25
- Glasgow, IA R+49
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.