Villa Cavazos leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 44% of adults in Villa Cavazos typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Villa Cavazos, ~19% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Villa Cavazos compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Villa Cavazos leans more Republican than 20 of 35 neighbors.
Politically, Villa Cavazos sits close to the rest of Texas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Villa Cavazos. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+18) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Villa Cavazos leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Villa Cavazos, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 94% of residents in Villa Cavazos drive to work alone, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Villa Cavazos are family households, above 86% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Villa Cavazos, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Villa Cavazos looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Villa Cavazos is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 12 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 66% of adults in Villa Cavazos have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rancho Viejo, TX R+9
- Villa Nueva, TX R+27
- La Paloma, TX R+4
- Olmito, TX R+10
- Landrum, TX R+3
- Laureles, TX R+11
- San Benito, TX R+3
- Indian Lake, TX R+16
- Los Indios, TX R+8
- Los Fresnos, TX R+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Simpson, SC D+5
- Fannettsburg, PA R+73
- DeSmet, MO R+61
- Tyre, NY R+42
- Alvord, IA R+77
- Norwood, TX R+75
- Brandon, OH R+58
- Jalapa, IN R+54
- West Walworth, NY R+15
- Greenevers, NC R+3
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.