Virginia Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Virginia

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Virginia leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.

 

About 76% of adults in Virginia typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Virginia, ~42% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Virginia compares

Among states within 500 miles, Virginia leans more Democratic than 9 of 16 neighbors.

Politics vary noticeably by county within Virginia. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+37) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+42), a spread of about 79 points.

Why Virginia leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per state to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Virginia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 42% of adults in Virginia hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 28%.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Virginia sits above the national average on this measure.

Why turnout in Virginia looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Virginia is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.