Waialae-Kahala leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Waialae-Kahala typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Waialae-Kahala, ~36% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Waialae-Kahala compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Waialae-Kahala leans more Democratic than 2 of 10 neighbors.
Politically, Waialae-Kahala sits close to the rest of Hawaii.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Waialae-Kahala. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+40) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+23), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Waialae-Kahala leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Waialae-Kahala, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 63% of adults in Waialae-Kahala hold a bachelor's degree, about 35 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Population density, never-married share, and Democratic lean
Places that combine high population density and a low never-married share tend to lean Democratic, as Waialae-Kahala, Honolulu, HI does.
Why turnout in Waialae-Kahala looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Waialae-Kahala is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 78%, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Kaimuki, Honolulu, HI D+32
- Palolo, Honolulu, HI D+25
- Diamond Head-Kapahulu-St Louis, Honolulu, HI D+36
- Kuliouou-Kalani Iki, East Honolulu, HI D+25
- Manoa, Honolulu, HI D+44
- Waikiki, Honolulu, HI D+32
- Mxcully-Moiliili, Honolulu, HI D+34
- Makiki, Honolulu, HI D+34
- Ala Moana-Kakaako, Honolulu, HI D+31
- Nuuanu-Punchbowl, Honolulu, HI D+31
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Arlington, Riverside, CA D+11
- Soho, Manhattan, NY D+70
- Cedar Hills-Cedar Mill North, Beaverton, OR D+42
- East Falls, Philadelphia, PA D+75
- Mandell, Chicago, IL D+79
- King, Portland, OR D+82
- Ormewood Park-East Atlanta, Atlanta, GA D+67
- Samoset, Bradenton, FL D+20
- Alamedan Valley, North Valley, NM D+17
- Pleasant Ridge, Cincinnati, OH D+55
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.