Manoa leans heavily Democratic by roughly 44 points: about 72% of voters vote Democratic and 28% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Manoa typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Manoa, ~36% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Manoa compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Manoa is the most Democratic-leaning.
Manoa runs about 20 points more Democratic than Hawaii as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Manoa. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+51) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+38), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Manoa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Manoa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 60% of adults in Manoa hold a bachelor's degree, about 31 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Manoa, Honolulu, HI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Manoa looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Manoa is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Mxcully-Moiliili, Honolulu, HI D+34
- Palolo, Honolulu, HI D+25
- Makiki, Honolulu, HI D+34
- Diamond Head-Kapahulu-St Louis, Honolulu, HI D+36
- Waikiki, Honolulu, HI D+32
- Nuuanu-Punchbowl, Honolulu, HI D+31
- Kaimuki, Honolulu, HI D+32
- Ala Moana-Kakaako, Honolulu, HI D+31
- Waialae-Kahala, Honolulu, HI D+27
- Downtown, Honolulu, HI D+33
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Noe Valley, San Francisco, CA D+82
- San Luis Rey, Oceanside, CA D+11
- Rosedale, Bakersfield, CA R+53
- Mililani Mauka-Launani Valley, Mililani, HI D+16
- Central Arlington, Arlington, TX D+25
- Nob Hill, San Francisco, CA D+62
- Flour Bluff, Corpus Christi, TX R+31
- Mountain View, El Monte, CA D+28
- Rose Hill, Alexandria, VA D+42
- Kalihi Valley, Honolulu, HI D+11
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.