middletown is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 82% of adults in middletown typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in middletown, ~42% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How middletown compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, middletown sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 1 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 3 leaning the other way.
Politically, middletown sits close to the rest of Pennsylvania.
Why middletown leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in middletown. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; middletown, Bethlehem, PA sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in middletown looks the way it does
Turnout in middletown sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- South Side, Bethlehem, PA D+33
- West Bethlehem, Bethlehem, PA D+25
- Sayre Park, Bethlehem, PA D+36
- Palmer Heights, Easton, PA R+6
- Rittersville, Allentown, PA D+10
- West Ward, Easton, PA D+27
- Southside, Easton, PA D+29
- Overlook Park, Allentown, PA D+26
- College Hill, Easton, PA D+57
- 6th Ward, Allentown, PA D+14
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Cabbage Town, Atlanta, GA D+69
- Rmma, Austin, TX D+61
- Downtown Fort Worth, Fort Worth, TX D+20
- South Beach, Fort Pierce, FL R+24
- Townsend-Raitt, Santa Ana, CA D+34
- South Shore, Alameda, CA D+59
- Samuel A Rothermel, Oak Park, IL D+73
- Social, Woonsocket, RI D+19
- Fircrest, Vancouver, WA D+21
- South Southeast 3, Topeka, KS D+7
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.