Wartburg is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Wartburg typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wartburg, ~18% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wartburg compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Wartburg leans more Republican than 82 of 107 neighbors.
Wartburg runs about 63 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Wartburg is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Wartburg leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wartburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Wartburg votes against the grain of Illinois. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Wartburg runs about 63 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Wartburg are family households, above 84% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Wartburg, IL sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Wartburg looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Wartburg is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 99% of households in Wartburg own their home, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Foster Pond, IL R+50
- Waterloo, IL R+41
- Maeystown, IL R+51
- Valmeyer, IL R+56
- Fountain Gap, IL R+51
- Fults, IL R+54
- Tipton, IL R+52
- Floraville, IL R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Optimus, AR R+66
- Dry Forks, AL D+4
- Red Falls, NY R+32
- Claiborne, MD R+13
- Minerva, IA R+43
- Brazilton, KS R+63
- Stewart, KY R+60
- Praha, TX R+66
- Kent, PA R+56
- Silverwood, LA R+85
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.