Waterflow leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Waterflow typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Waterflow, ~36% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Waterflow compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Waterflow leans more Democratic than 7 of 10 neighbors.
Waterflow runs about 6 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Waterflow. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+38) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+14), a spread of about 52 points.
Why Waterflow leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Waterflow, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 54% of adults in Waterflow have never been married, well above similar-sized cities (around 26%).
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Waterflow, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Waterflow looks the way it does
Turnout in Waterflow sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Shiprock, NM D+31
- Fruitland, NM R+4
- Kirtland, NM R+18
- Napi Headquarters, NM R+2
- Farmington, NM R+33
- DeSmet, NM R+33
- Little Water, NM D+28
- La Plata, NM R+57
- Tinian, NM R+27
- Beclabito, NM D+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Bloomfield, MO R+57
- Verona, NY R+37
- Piedmont, SD R+58
- Cambridge City, IN R+52
- Winsted, MN R+47
- Greenville, NY R+26
- Helmetta, NJ R+16
- Ripley, OH R+59
- Paden City, WV R+55
- Hamilton, IN R+52
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.