Kirtland leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Kirtland typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kirtland, ~31% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kirtland compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kirtland leans more Republican than 4 of 12 neighbors.
Kirtland runs about 24 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Kirtland is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kirtland. The south side is the most split-leaning (R+44) and the southeast side is the least split-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 41 points.
Why Kirtland leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kirtland, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in Kirtland drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Kirtland sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 81% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Kirtland are family households, above 82% of cities.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Kirtland, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Kirtland looks the way it does
Turnout in Kirtland sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fruitland, NM R+4
- Farmington, NM R+33
- DeSmet, NM R+33
- Napi Headquarters, NM R+2
- Tinian, NM R+27
- Waterflow, NM D+12
- Lee Acres, NM R+53
- La Plata, NM R+57
- Flora Vista, NM R+58
- Aztec, NM R+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fisherville, KY R+35
- Bolivar, TN D+19
- Ellenboro, NC R+64
- Manchester, IA R+29
- Felton, CA D+39
- Kennebunkport, ME D+6
- Scotia, NY D+15
- Friendsville, TN R+61
- Raiford, FL R+55
- Fairmount, CO D+9
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.