West Haverstraw leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 60% of adults in West Haverstraw typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in West Haverstraw, ~35% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How West Haverstraw compares
Among cities within 25 miles, West Haverstraw leans more Democratic than 185 of 235 neighbors.
West Haverstraw runs about 5 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within West Haverstraw. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+34) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+3), a spread of about 32 points.
Why West Haverstraw leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for West Haverstraw, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 86% of residents in West Haverstraw live in densely developed areas, about 50 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 37% of adults in West Haverstraw have never been married, above 90% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; West Haverstraw, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in West Haverstraw looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. West Haverstraw is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 42% of households in West Haverstraw rent, compared to around 22% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 22% of adults in West Haverstraw report food insecurity, above 84% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Haverstraw, NY D+17
- Garnerville, NY R+5
- Thiells, NY R+6
- Stony Point, NY R+19
- Pomona, NY R+11
- Verplanck, NY D+14
- Tomkins Cove, NY R+16
- Montrose, NY D+10
- New City, NY Even
- Buchanan, NY Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Heber Springs, AR R+58
- Fuller Heights, FL R+30
- Mantua, NJ R+6
- Lewiston, NY R+11
- Taneytown, MD R+35
- Middleboro, MA R+12
- Tremonton, UT R+61
- Mercer, PA R+40
- Wharton, NJ Even
- Louisa, VA R+26
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.