Lilydale leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Lilydale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lilydale, ~64% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~0% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lilydale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lilydale leans more Democratic than 88 of 114 neighbors.
Lilydale runs about 23 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Why Lilydale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lilydale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 81% of residents in Lilydale live in densely developed areas, about 45 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Lilydale sits in the top quarter (about 69%, above 98% of cities).
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Lilydale, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lilydale looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lilydale is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 80%, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Lilydale have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mendota Heights, MN D+22
- Mendota, MN D+30
- West St. Paul, MN D+27
- Sunfish Lake, MN D+12
- St. Paul, MN D+52
- South St. Paul, MN D+18
- Inver Grove Heights, MN D+10
- Eagan, MN D+23
- Falcon Heights, MN D+69
- Richfield, MN D+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hartwick, NY R+7
- Dameron, MD R+12
- Astoria, IL R+57
- Shartlesville, PA R+50
- Graeagle, CA R+16
- Rushford Village, MN R+28
- Reardan, WA R+56
- Fountain Run, KY R+71
- Finchville, KY R+43
- Sidney Center, NY R+37
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.