Williamsburg City leans heavily Democratic by roughly 44 points: about 72% of voters vote Democratic and 28% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Williamsburg City typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Williamsburg City, ~48% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Williamsburg City compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Williamsburg City leans more Democratic than 33 of 36 neighbors.
Williamsburg City runs about 38 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Williamsburg City. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+59) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+28), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Williamsburg City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Williamsburg City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 63% of residents in Williamsburg City live in densely developed areas, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Williamsburg City sits in the top quarter (about 41%, above 92% of counties). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 60% of adults in Williamsburg City have never been married, in the top fraction of counties.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Williamsburg City, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Williamsburg City looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Williamsburg City is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 94% of adults in Williamsburg City have completed high school, above 81% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- James City County, VA D+8
- Gloucester County, VA R+38
- York County, VA R+3
- Surry County, VA D+2
- Newport News City, VA D+38
- Poquoson City, VA R+38
- Charles City County, VA D+8
- Mathews County, VA R+39
- New Kent County, VA R+28
- Isle of Wight County, VA R+17
Counties with Similar Populations
- Redwood County, MN R+47
- Vermillion County, IN R+50
- Clark County, IL R+53
- Washington County, AL R+46
- Barbour County, WV R+60
- Moniteau County, MO R+60
- Brown County, IN R+43
- Floyd County, VA R+47
- Tipton County, IN R+52
- De Witt County, IL R+43
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.