Willow leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Willow typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Willow, ~17% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Willow compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Willow leans more Republican than 40 of 49 neighbors.
Willow runs about 36 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Willow. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+62) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+16), a spread of about 46 points.
Why Willow leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Willow, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 80% of households in Willow are family households, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Willow, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Willow looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Willow own their home, about 20 points above the Florida average of 71%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Willow sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wimauma, FL R+17
- Parrish, FL R+32
- Sun City Center, FL R+10
- Ruskin, FL R+3
- Piney Point, FL R+41
- Gillett, FL R+41
- Apollo Beach, FL R+17
- Balm, FL R+28
- Ellenton, FL R+19
- Fort Lonesome, FL R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bancroft, NE R+69
- Elizabeth, LA R+90
- Onaga, KS R+48
- Barton, MD R+63
- Moulton, IA R+53
- Camas Valley, OR R+51
- Lake Kathryn, FL R+57
- Kirkville, MS R+88
- Stephensville, WI R+47
- Saddle Rock, NY R+66
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.