Parrish leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 92% of adults in Parrish typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Parrish, ~31% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Parrish compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Parrish leans more Republican than 36 of 45 neighbors.
Parrish runs about 19 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Parrish. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+49) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+27), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Parrish leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Parrish, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Parrish votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 52%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 36%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Parrish are family households, above 88% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Parrish, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Parrish looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Parrish is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Parrish own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Parrish have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ellenton, FL R+19
- Gillett, FL R+41
- Willow, FL R+49
- Palmetto, FL R+18
- Memphis, FL D+14
- Bradenton, FL R+14
- Piney Point, FL R+41
- Terra Ceia, FL R+29
- Ruskin, FL R+3
- South Bradenton, FL R+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Round Lake Beach, IL D+16
- Hartsville, SC R+21
- Chapin, SC R+40
- Stillwater, MN D+12
- Sebastopol, CA D+50
- Harbor City, CA D+27
- Burlington, IA Even
- Edgewater, FL R+33
- Watertown, WI R+22
- Baldwin, NY D+40
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.