Yardville leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Yardville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Yardville, ~41% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Yardville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Yardville leans more Republican than 109 of 172 neighbors.
Yardville runs about 11 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Yardville. The southeast side is the most split-leaning (R+12) and the northeast side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Yardville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Yardville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Yardville votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 72%, modestly above the New Jersey average of 61%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Yardville, NJ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Yardville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Yardville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- White Horse, NJ D+3
- Hamilton Square, NJ Even
- Crosswicks, NJ D+15
- Mercerville, NJ D+7
- Bordentown, NJ D+14
- Fieldsboro, NJ D+3
- Trenton, NJ D+42
- Chesterfield, NJ R+18
- Extonville, NJ R+20
- Allentown, NJ R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Calabash, NC R+32
- Gilford, NH R+5
- Averill Park, NY R+7
- Graceville, FL R+53
- North Hobbs, NM R+66
- Springville, NY R+25
- Elm City, NC R+28
- Lewistown, MT R+40
- Harbor Springs, MI R+3
- Oakmont, PA D+21
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.