Population 803 · Census ACS 2020–24
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Population and households in Modesto
Household size in Modesto
| Period | Modesto | St. Louis area | Illinois | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 2.86 | 2.52 | 2.69 | 2.68 |
| 2010–14 | 2.54 | 2.53 | 2.71 | 2.73 |
| 2015–19 | 2.17 | 2.49 | 2.66 | 2.71 |
| 2020–24 | 2.48 | 2.46 | 2.58 | 2.65 |
| Change | −0.37 | −0.06 | −0.11 | −0.03 |
Households in Modesto run small, averaging 2.48 people against 2.65 nationally, which usually means more singles and couples and fewer children. The picture is much the same across the St. Louis area. Household size has dropped from 2.86 in 2006–10, but in a place this small, much of that may be survey noise rather than real change.
Household size: the average number of people living in each occupied home. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B25010).
Median age in Modesto
| Period | Modesto | St. Louis area | Illinois | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 41.0 | 38.5 | 37.6 | 37.7 |
| 2010–14 | 45.6 | 39.5 | 38.5 | 38.6 |
| 2015–19 | 51.8 | 40.7 | 39.6 | 39.6 |
| 2020–24 | 51.6 | 40.8 | 40.2 | 40.1 |
| Change | +10.6 | +2.3 | +2.6 | +2.3 |
With a median age of 51.6, Modesto is noticeably older than the country as a whole (40.1), an age mix that tilts toward empty nesters and retirees.
Median age: the age that splits residents into two equal halves. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B01002).
Single-parent households in Modesto
| Period | Modesto | St. Louis area | Illinois | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.3% |
| 2010–14 | 3.6% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.3% |
| 2015–19 | 7.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% |
| 2020–24 | 4.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% |
| Change | −8.5 pts | −0.6 pts | −0.4 pts | −0.6 pts |
Single parents head only 4.0% of households in Modesto, well below the national share of 11.6%.
Single-parent households: households where one adult with no spouse present lives with children under 18. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B11003).
Housing in Modesto
Renters in Modesto
| Period | Modesto | St. Louis area | Illinois | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 18.8% | 28.3% | 30.8% | 33.3% |
| 2010–14 | 12.8% | 30.1% | 33.1% | 35.6% |
| 2015–19 | 19.6% | 31.1% | 33.9% | 36.0% |
| 2020–24 | 8.3% | 29.6% | 32.9% | 34.8% |
| Change | −10.4 pts | +1.4 pts | +2.1 pts | +1.5 pts |
Modesto is overwhelmingly a place of homeowners: only 8.3% of households rent, far below the national share of 34.8%. Owner-heavy areas like this tend to see less turnover. About seven in ten owners (68.6%) have paid off their mortgages, well above the national share of 39.8%.
Renters: occupied homes that are rented rather than owned. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B25003).
Vacant homes in Modesto
| Period | Modesto | St. Louis area | Illinois | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% |
| 2010–14 | 14.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.4% |
| 2015–19 | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% |
| 2020–24 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% |
| Change | +11.9 pts | −0.8 pts | −1.9 pts | −1.8 pts |
Vacant homes make up 21.1% of the housing in Modesto, far above the national rate of 9.6%. In resort and lake areas that usually means seasonal and vacation homes; elsewhere it can point to weak demand.
Vacant homes: homes with no one living in them, including vacation homes and homes for sale or rent. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B25002).
Age of homes in Modesto
| Period | Modesto | St. Louis area | Illinois | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 1971 | 1972 | 1966 | 1974 |
| 2010–14 | 1986 | 1972 | 1967 | 1975 |
| 2015–19 | 1974 | 1973 | 1968 | 1977 |
| 2020–24 | 1958 | 1975 | 1970 | 1980 |
| Change | −13 | +3 | +4 | +6 |
Modesto is a place of older homes: half were built before 1958, while the national median is 1980. That means established neighborhoods, and more houses that may need updating.
Age of homes: the year that splits the housing stock into older and newer halves. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B25035).
Rent in Modesto
| Period | Modesto | St. Louis area | Illinois | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | $499 | $825 | $953 | $965 |
| 2010–14 | $825 | $920 | $1,028 | $1,040 |
| 2015–19 | $684 | $1,010 | $1,165 | $1,213 |
| 2020–24 | $817 | $1,239 | $1,428 | $1,571 |
| Change | +$318 | +$414 | +$475 | +$606 |
The median renter in Modesto pays $817 a month for rent and utilities, well below the national median of $1,571. Rent takes 13.7% of the typical renter's income, comfortably under the 30% mark often used to define affordable rent.
Rent: monthly rent plus the utilities renters pay themselves. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B25064).
Education in Modesto
Bachelor's degrees in Modesto
| Period | Modesto | St. Louis area | Illinois | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 16.3% | 30.3% | 31.2% | 28.4% |
| 2010–14 | 27.2% | 32.1% | 32.4% | 29.6% |
| 2015–19 | 16.4% | 34.9% | 34.7% | 32.1% |
| 2020–24 | 17.8% | 38.5% | 37.7% | 35.6% |
| Change | +1.6 pts | +8.3 pts | +6.5 pts | +7.2 pts |
Fewer adults in Modesto have a four-year degree than in the country as a whole: 17.8%, against 35.6% nationally.
Bachelor's degrees: adults 25 and older with a bachelor's degree or higher. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B15003).
High school graduates in Modesto
| Period | Modesto | St. Louis area | Illinois | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 85.6% | 88.8% | 86.3% | 84.9% |
| 2010–14 | 92.1% | 90.5% | 87.5% | 86.1% |
| 2015–19 | 93.7% | 92.1% | 89.1% | 87.7% |
| 2020–24 | 92.8% | 93.6% | 90.3% | 89.3% |
| Change | +7.2 pts | +4.8 pts | +4.0 pts | +4.3 pts |
Just over nine in ten adults in Modesto have finished high school (92.8%), above the national rate of 89.3%. The St. Louis area as a whole looks much the same.
High school graduates: adults 25 and older with a high school diploma, GED or more. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B15003).
Jobs in Modesto
| Period | Modesto | St. Louis area | Illinois | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% |
| 2010–14 | 2.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% |
| 2015–19 | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% |
| 2020–24 | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% |
| Change | −0.5 pts | −3.4 pts | −2.7 pts | −2.7 pts |
At 5.2%, unemployment in Modesto is close to the national rate of 5.4%. The rate is higher than in the St. Louis area overall (4.3%). Because the Census pools five years of responses (2020–24), these rates smooth over short swings and lag the current job market.
Unemployment: people looking for work as a share of everyone working or looking. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B23025).
Modesto compared with nearby cities
| City | Household size | Median age | Single parents | Renters | Vacant homes | Median year built | Median rent | Bachelor's degree | High school diploma | Unemployment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modesto | 2.48 | 51.6 | 4.0% | 8.3% | 21.1% | 1958 | $817 | 17.8% | 92.8% | 5.2% |
| Palmyra | 2.31 | 51.8 | 8.3% | 17.4% | 24.8% | 1969 | $729 | 14.8% | 87.9% | 8.6% |
| Scottville | 2.43 | 45.8 | 6.3% | 5.0% | 15.0% | 1969 | $725 | 35.0% | 94.5% | 4.1% |
| Waverly | 2.43 | 44.8 | 5.6% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 1956 | $845 | 19.6% | 94.2% | 3.6% |
| Girard | 2.57 | 44.6 | 15.5% | 26.8% | 24.7% | 1964 | $899 | 16.5% | 89.3% | 1.2% |
| Hettick | 2.68 | 44.9 | 10.0% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 1977 | $719 | 31.4% | 96.3% | 2.5% |
| McVey | 2.53 | 41.0 | 11.6% | 14.9% | 23.1% | 1965 | $818 | 17.7% | 96.2% | 3.0% |
| Franklin | 2.75 | 45.7 | 9.9% | 18.0% | 7.5% | 1972 | $1,036 | 21.2% | 93.4% | 1.4% |
| Nilwood | 2.36 | 54.2 | 9.0% | 9.5% | 19.0% | 1959 | $1,163 | 10.9% | 91.7% | 1.1% |
| Virden | 2.56 | 39.1 | 15.1% | 29.1% | 16.0% | 1957 | $803 | 14.4% | 95.2% | 6.5% |
| Thayer | 2.61 | 44.6 | 5.2% | 14.9% | 5.3% | 1991 | $944 | 16.0% | 93.5% | 2.2% |
All figures 2020–24.
Cities with similar populations: Stratton, MS · Fackler, AL · Fagus, MO · Fanning, MO · Farwell, MN · Fielding, UT · Flatrock, WV · Frankford, MO · Stony Fork, NC · Evans, WA
About these numbers
Every figure on this page is a BestNeighborhood calculation from the Census Bureau's American Community Survey (ACS), built up from the Census block groups that make up Modesto. Each ACS 5-year release pools five years of responses; this page shows the last 15 releases, 2006–10 through 2020–24. Neighboring releases share four of their five years, so they move gradually and small changes between them are within the survey's margin of error; in small places the lines can jump from one release to the next for the same reason. The maps show the same measures for each neighborhood, ranked against the whole country.
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