Population 1,633 · Census ACS 2020–24
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Population and households in Tonto Basin
Household size in Tonto Basin
| Period | Tonto Basin | Phoenix area | Arizona | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 1.94 | 2.83 | 2.77 | 2.68 |
| 2010–14 | 1.94 | 2.91 | 2.84 | 2.73 |
| 2015–19 | 1.90 | 2.91 | 2.82 | 2.71 |
| 2020–24 | 2.08 | 2.80 | 2.70 | 2.65 |
| Change | +0.15 | −0.03 | −0.07 | −0.03 |
Tonto Basin is a place of small households, averaging 2.08 people against 2.65 for the U.S., which points to many singles, couples and roommates and relatively few children. Household size has climbed from 1.94 in 2006–10, but in a place this small, survey estimates can swing a lot from one release to the next.
Household size: the average number of people living in each occupied home. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B25010).
Median age in Tonto Basin
| Period | Tonto Basin | Phoenix area | Arizona | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 63.7 | 35.6 | 36.9 | 37.7 |
| 2010–14 | 59.0 | 36.9 | 38.1 | 38.6 |
| 2015–19 | 64.4 | 38.3 | 39.5 | 39.6 |
| 2020–24 | 61.4 | 39.1 | 40.4 | 40.1 |
| Change | −2.2 | +3.5 | +3.5 | +2.3 |
Tonto Basin skews older: half of its residents are older than 61.4, well above the national median of 40.1. That usually means more empty nesters and retirees, and fewer young families.
Median age: the age that splits residents into two equal halves. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B01002).
Single-parent households in Tonto Basin
| Period | Tonto Basin | Phoenix area | Arizona | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 5.5% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.3% |
| 2010–14 | 4.1% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 12.3% |
| 2015–19 | 2.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.6% |
| 2020–24 | 3.5% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.6% |
| Change | −2.0 pts | −0.6 pts | −0.8 pts | −0.6 pts |
Single parents head only 3.5% of households in Tonto Basin, well below the national share of 11.6%.
Single-parent households: households where one adult with no spouse present lives with children under 18. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B11003).
Housing in Tonto Basin
Renters in Tonto Basin
| Period | Tonto Basin | Phoenix area | Arizona | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 9.0% | 32.8% | 32.6% | 33.3% |
| 2010–14 | 5.5% | 37.7% | 36.6% | 35.6% |
| 2015–19 | 20.2% | 36.6% | 35.6% | 36.0% |
| 2020–24 | 9.1% | 33.4% | 32.6% | 34.8% |
| Change | +0.1 pts | +0.6 pts | +0.1 pts | +1.5 pts |
Only 9.1% of households in Tonto Basin rent their homes, far below the national share of 34.8%, so most residents are owners who tend to stay put. Among homeowners, 74.5% have no mortgage at all, well above the national share of 39.8%.
Renters: occupied homes that are rented rather than owned. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B25003).
Vacant homes in Tonto Basin
| Period | Tonto Basin | Phoenix area | Arizona | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 59.4% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 11.4% |
| 2010–14 | 38.1% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 11.4% |
| 2015–19 | 34.2% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.1% |
| 2020–24 | 38.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% |
| Change | −21.2 pts | −5.6 pts | −5.6 pts | −1.8 pts |
Vacant homes make up 38.3% of the housing in Tonto Basin, far above the national rate of 9.6%. In resort and lake areas that usually means seasonal and vacation homes; elsewhere it can point to weak demand.
Vacant homes: homes with no one living in them, including vacation homes and homes for sale or rent. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B25002).
Age of homes in Tonto Basin
| Period | Tonto Basin | Phoenix area | Arizona | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 1991 | 1988 | 1987 | 1974 |
| 2010–14 | 1993 | 1989 | 1988 | 1975 |
| 2015–19 | 1996 | 1990 | 1989 | 1977 |
| 2020–24 | 1997 | 1993 | 1992 | 1980 |
| Change | +6 | +6 | +5 | +6 |
Tonto Basin has newer housing than the country as a whole: the median home was built in 1997, versus 1980 nationally. The Phoenix area as a whole looks much the same.
Age of homes: the year that splits the housing stock into older and newer halves. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B25035).
Rent in Tonto Basin
| Period | Tonto Basin | Phoenix area | Arizona | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | $549 | $1,123 | $1,043 | $965 |
| 2010–14 | $737 | $1,158 | $1,078 | $1,040 |
| 2015–19 | $444 | $1,342 | $1,227 | $1,213 |
| 2020–24 | $1,036 | $1,927 | $1,736 | $1,571 |
| Change | +$488 | +$804 | +$694 | +$606 |
Rent in Tonto Basin runs $1,036 a month at the median, utilities included, well below the U.S. median of $1,571. Rent takes 26.0% of the typical renter's income, comfortably under the 30% mark often used to define affordable rent.
Rent: monthly rent plus the utilities renters pay themselves. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B25064).
Education in Tonto Basin
Bachelor's degrees in Tonto Basin
| Period | Tonto Basin | Phoenix area | Arizona | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 5.7% | 27.8% | 26.3% | 28.4% |
| 2010–14 | 8.9% | 28.5% | 27.0% | 29.6% |
| 2015–19 | 10.3% | 31.1% | 29.3% | 32.1% |
| 2020–24 | 22.0% | 35.0% | 33.3% | 35.6% |
| Change | +16.2 pts | +7.3 pts | +7.0 pts | +7.2 pts |
College degrees are relatively uncommon in Tonto Basin: 22.0% of adults 25 and older hold a bachelor's or higher, well below the national share of 35.6%.
Bachelor's degrees: adults 25 and older with a bachelor's degree or higher. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B15003).
High school graduates in Tonto Basin
| Period | Tonto Basin | Phoenix area | Arizona | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 86.3% | 85.0% | 84.6% | 84.9% |
| 2010–14 | 87.1% | 86.0% | 85.5% | 86.1% |
| 2015–19 | 82.8% | 87.2% | 86.8% | 87.7% |
| 2020–24 | 88.8% | 89.5% | 89.1% | 89.3% |
| Change | +2.5 pts | +4.4 pts | +4.5 pts | +4.3 pts |
About as many adults in Tonto Basin have finished high school as nationally: 88.8%, against 89.3%.
High school graduates: adults 25 and older with a high school diploma, GED or more. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B15003).
Jobs in Tonto Basin
| Period | Tonto Basin | Phoenix area | Arizona | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006–10 | 2.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% |
| 2010–14 | 3.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% |
| 2015–19 | 10.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% |
| 2020–24 | 0.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% |
| Change | −2.9 pts | −2.4 pts | −2.5 pts | −2.7 pts |
The survey found almost no one in Tonto Basin out of work and looking, against 5.4% of the labor force nationally. Because the Census pools five years of responses (2020–24), these rates smooth over short swings and lag the current job market.
Unemployment: people looking for work as a share of everyone working or looking. Source: BestNeighborhood calculations from U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-year block-group estimates (table B23025).
Tonto Basin compared with nearby cities
| City | Household size | Median age | Single parents | Renters | Vacant homes | Median year built | Median rent | Bachelor's degree | High school diploma | Unemployment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tonto Basin | 2.08 | 61.4 | 3.5% | 9.1% | 38.3% | 1997 | $1,036 | 22.0% | 88.8% | 0.0% |
| Jakes Corner | 1.83 | 62.1 | 6.0% | 3.8% | 20.3% | 1989 | $1,260 | 14.0% | 89.8% | 0.0% |
| Rio Verde | 1.93 | 65.0 | 10.1% | 4.7% | 22.0% | 2010 | $2,353 | 61.9% | 99.3% | 5.3% |
| Carefree | 1.96 | 65.1 | 2.2% | 9.3% | 18.6% | 1993 | $1,597 | 61.8% | 98.6% | 4.0% |
| Cave Creek | 2.52 | 50.5 | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 2001 | $2,762 | 56.6% | 98.4% | 1.8% |
| New River | 2.71 | 48.4 | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2003 | $2,248 | 34.2% | 95.3% | 2.4% |
| Anthem | 2.73 | 43.8 | 12.0% | 17.3% | 8.6% | 2005 | $2,447 | 46.9% | 97.1% | 3.9% |
| Carrizo | 4.69 | 23.8 | 43.9% | 38.5% | 16.1% | 1980 | $883 | 8.6% | 68.8% | 8.7% |
| Cedar Creek | 4.69 | 23.8 | 43.9% | 38.5% | 16.1% | 1980 | $883 | 8.6% | 68.8% | 8.7% |
| Fort Apache Junction | 4.69 | 23.8 | 43.9% | 38.5% | 16.1% | 1980 | $883 | 8.6% | 68.8% | 8.7% |
| Wittmann | 2.66 | 45.1 | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 2005 | $1,394 | 20.9% | 90.2% | 2.1% |
All figures 2020–24.
Cities with similar populations: Kingsford Heights, IN · Richland Junction, MI · Ney, OH · Mount Victory, OH · Mount Ida, AR · Milton, NC · Lima, PA · Legend Lake, WI · Lakeshire, MO · Ringwood, IL
About these numbers
Every figure on this page is a BestNeighborhood calculation from the Census Bureau's American Community Survey (ACS), built up from the Census block groups that make up Tonto Basin. Each ACS 5-year release pools five years of responses; this page shows the last 15 releases, 2006–10 through 2020–24. Neighboring releases share four of their five years, so they move gradually and small changes between them are within the survey's margin of error; in small places the lines can jump from one release to the next for the same reason. The maps show the same measures for each neighborhood, ranked against the whole country.
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