02863 leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Rhode Island did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 31% of adults in 02863 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 02863, ~19% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~69% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 02863 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 02863 leans more Democratic than 48 of 58 neighbors.
02863 runs about 9 points more Democratic than Rhode Island as a whole.
Why 02863 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 02863, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 49% of adults in 02863 have never been married, modestly above similar-sized zip codes (around 35%).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 02863, RI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 02863 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 02863 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 23 points below the Rhode Island average of 71%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 73% of households in 02863 rent, compared to around 42% in nearby zip codes. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 44% of adults in 02863 report food insecurity, in the top fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Rhode Island Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. RI did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.