02864 is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Rhode Island did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 77% of adults in 02864 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 02864, ~39% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 02864 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 02864 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 19 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 36 leaning the other way.
02864 runs about 11 points more Republican than Rhode Island as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 02864. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 11 points.
Why 02864 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 02864. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 02864, RI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 02864 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 02864 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Rhode Island Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. RI did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.