04010 leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 83% of adults in 04010 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 04010, ~27% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 04010 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 04010 leans more Republican than 18 of 19 neighbors.
04010 runs about 40 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while 04010 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 04010 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 04010, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
04010 votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while 04010 runs about 40 points more Republican.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as 04010, ME does.
Why turnout in 04010 looks the way it does
Turnout in 04010 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.