04434 leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 77% of adults in 04434 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 04434, ~21% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 04434 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 04434 leans more Republican than 16 of 17 neighbors.
04434 runs about 50 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while 04434 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 04434 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 04434, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
04434 votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while 04434 runs about 50 points more Republican. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 04434 fits that profile on both counts. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in 04434 are family households, above 90% of zip codes.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 04434, ME sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 04434 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in 04434 own their home, about 12 points above the Maine average of 83%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.