04564 leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 84% of adults in 04564 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 04564, ~50% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 04564 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 04564 leans more Democratic than 13 of 26 neighbors.
04564 runs about 13 points more Democratic than Maine as a whole.
Why 04564 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 04564, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 49% of adults in 04564 hold a bachelor's degree, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 04564, ME sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 04564 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 04564 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in 04564 own their home, above 87% of zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 04564 have completed high school, above 87% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.