04949 leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 80% of adults in 04949 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 04949, ~34% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 04949 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 04949 leans more Republican than 2 of 14 neighbors.
04949 runs about 20 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while 04949 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 04949 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 04949, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
04949 votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while 04949 runs about 20 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 04949, ME sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 04949 looks the way it does
Turnout in 04949 sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.