05142 is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 83% of adults in 05142 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 05142, ~41% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 05142 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 05142 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 14 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 6 leaning the other way.
05142 runs about 35 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while 05142 sits closer to the political middle.
Why 05142 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 05142, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
05142 votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while 05142 runs about 35 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 05142, VT sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in 05142 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in 05142 have completed high school, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.