05156 leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 72% of adults in 05156 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 05156, ~33% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 05156 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 05156 leans more Republican than 14 of 22 neighbors.
05156 runs about 41 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while 05156 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 05156. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+12), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 05156 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 05156, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
05156 votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while 05156 runs about 41 points more Republican.
Multifamily housing and voter turnout
Places with a high multifamily-housing share tend to turn out in mixed patterns; 05156, VT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Apartment housing does not change how people vote; it reflects urban density and renting.
Why turnout in 05156 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 05156 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%, about 6 points below the Vermont average of 68%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.