05730 leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 85% of adults in 05730 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 05730, ~38% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 05730 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 05730 leans more Republican than 11 of 16 neighbors.
05730 runs about 43 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while 05730 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 05730 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 05730, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
05730 votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while 05730 runs about 43 points more Republican.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 05730, VT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 05730 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in 05730 own their home, about 9 points above the Vermont average of 83%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 05730 have completed high school, above 83% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.