05738 is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 83% of adults in 05738 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 05738, ~43% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 05738 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 05738 leans more Democratic than 13 of 18 neighbors.
05738 runs about 28 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole.
Why 05738 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 05738. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 05738, VT sits above the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 05738 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 05738 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in 05738 own their home, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.