05757 leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 84% of adults in 05757 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 05757, ~37% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 05757 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 05757 leans more Republican than 6 of 20 neighbors.
05757 runs about 44 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while 05757 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 05757. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+21) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+10), a spread of about 11 points.
Why 05757 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 05757, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
05757 votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while 05757 runs about 44 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 05757, VT sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in 05757 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in 05757 own their home, about 8 points above the Vermont average of 83%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.