05828, VT Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in 05828

05828 is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.

 
05828, VT block-group political-lean map
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About 87% of adults in 05828 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 05828, ~44% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

05828, VT block-group voter-turnout map
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0% 50% 100%
Lower turnout Higher turnout
Colorblind friendly off

How 05828 compares

Among zip codes within 15 miles, 05828 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 14 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 6 leaning the other way.

05828 runs about 33 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by block within 05828. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+4), a spread of about 10 points.

Why 05828 leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 05828. None of them point strongly toward either party.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 05828, VT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in 05828 looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 05828 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Nearby Zip Codes

Zip Codes with Similar Populations

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.