05819 is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 74% of adults in 05819 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 05819, ~37% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 05819 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 05819 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 14 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 3 leaning the other way.
05819 runs about 33 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 05819. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+18) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+13), a spread of about 31 points.
Why 05819 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 05819. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 05819, VT sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in 05819 looks the way it does
Turnout in 05819 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.