05868 leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 71% of adults in 05868 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 05868, ~23% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 05868 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 05868 is the most Republican-leaning.
05868 runs about 68 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while 05868 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 05868 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 05868, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In 05868, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 23 points below the Vermont average of 41%. 05868 runs against the grain of Vermont, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 05868, VT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 05868 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 05868 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in 05868 own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 05868 have completed high school, above 82% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.