05860 leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 72% of adults in 05860 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 05860, ~27% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 05860 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 05860 leans more Republican than 14 of 21 neighbors.
05860 runs about 59 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while 05860 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 05860. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+38) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 22 points.
Why 05860 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 05860, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
05860 votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while 05860 runs about 59 points more Republican.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 05860, VT sits above the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 05860 looks the way it does
Turnout in 05860 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.