07731 leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 83% of adults in 07731 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 07731, ~31% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 07731 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 07731 leans more Republican than 26 of 42 neighbors.
07731 runs about 31 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while 07731 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 07731. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+31) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 11 points.
Why 07731 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 07731, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
07731 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 67%, about 30 points above the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in 07731 are family households, above 91% of zip codes. 07731 runs against the grain of New Jersey, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 07731, NJ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 07731 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 07731 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 89% of households in 07731 own their home, above 84% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.