11780 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 84% of adults in 11780 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11780, ~32% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11780 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11780 leans more Republican than 41 of 57 neighbors.
11780 runs about 36 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 11780 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 11780 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11780, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
11780 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 84%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. 11780 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 11780, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 11780 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 11780 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 11780 have completed high school, above 80% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.