12130 leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 89% of adults in 12130 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12130, ~42% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12130 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12130 leans more Republican than 25 of 43 neighbors.
12130 runs about 19 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12130 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 12130 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12130, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 81% of households in 12130 are family households, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 67%. 12130 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 12130, NY sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 12130 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12130 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 89% of households in 12130 own their home, above 85% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.