12131 leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 77% of adults in 12131 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12131, ~27% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12131 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12131 leans more Republican than 10 of 21 neighbors.
12131 runs about 43 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12131 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 12131 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12131, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. 12131 sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 17 points above the New York average of 79%. 12131 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 12131, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 12131 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12131 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 62% of zip codes. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in 12131 own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.