12147 leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 77% of adults in 12147 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12147, ~34% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12147 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12147 leans more Republican than 3 of 25 neighbors.
12147 runs about 24 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12147 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 12147 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12147, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
12147 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12147 runs about 24 points more Republican.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 12147, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 12147 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12147 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in 12147 own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 12147 have completed high school, above 86% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.