12457 is a Democratic stronghold. About 76% of voters here vote Democratic and 24% Republican.
About 72% of adults in 12457 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12457, ~54% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12457 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12457 leans more Democratic than 27 of 31 neighbors.
12457 runs about 39 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12457. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+66) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+37), a spread of about 29 points.
Why 12457 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12457, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 55% of adults in 12457 hold a bachelor's degree, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as 12457, NY does.
Why turnout in 12457 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12457 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in 12457 have completed high school, above 94% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.