12494 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 12494 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12494, ~40% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12494 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12494 leans more Democratic than 18 of 30 neighbors.
12494 runs about 18 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Why 12494 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12494, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 63% of adults in 12494 hold a bachelor's degree, about 35 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 35% of adults in 12494 have never been married, above 79% of zip codes.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; 12494, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 12494 looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 22% of homes in 12494 have more than one occupant per room, in the top fraction of zip codes. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and 12494 sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.