12565 leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 85% of adults in 12565 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12565, ~40% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12565 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12565 leans more Republican than 18 of 26 neighbors.
12565 runs about 19 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12565 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 12565 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12565, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 86% of residents in 12565 drive to work alone, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 74%. 12565 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 12565, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 12565 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12565 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.