14564 is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 94% of adults in 14564 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 14564, ~48% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~6% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 14564 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 14564 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 14 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 17 leaning the other way.
14564 runs about 10 points more Republican than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 14564. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 19 points.
Why 14564 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 14564. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 14564, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 14564 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 14564 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 14564 have completed high school, above 87% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.