14586 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 64% of adults in 14586 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 14586, ~36% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 14586 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 14586 leans more Democratic than 21 of 45 neighbors.
Politically, 14586 sits close to the rest of New York.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 14586. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+21) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+5), a spread of about 16 points.
Why 14586 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 14586, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 44% of adults in 14586 hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in 14586 have never been married, above 86% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 14586, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 14586 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 14586 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.