14904 leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 55% of adults in 14904 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 14904, ~25% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 14904 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 14904 leans more Republican than 3 of 20 neighbors.
14904 runs about 23 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 14904 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 14904. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+22), a spread of about 25 points.
Why 14904 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 14904, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
14904 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 82%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. 14904 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 14904, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 14904 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 39% of households in 14904 rent, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.