15044 leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in 15044 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 15044, ~45% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~-1% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 15044 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 15044 leans more Republican than 44 of 65 neighbors.
15044 runs about 9 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 15044. The northeast side is the most split-leaning (R+20) and the southwest side is the least split-leaning (R+2), a spread of about 18 points.
Why 15044 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 15044, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 74% of households in 15044 are family households, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; 15044, PA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 15044 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 15044 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in 15044 own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in 15044 have completed high school, above 97% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.