21152 is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 79% of adults in 21152 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 21152, ~41% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 21152 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 21152 leans more Democratic than 19 of 43 neighbors.
21152 runs about 25 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 21152. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+25), a spread of about 36 points.
Why 21152 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 21152. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 21152, MD sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 21152 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 21152 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in 21152 have completed high school, above 98% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.