21911 leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 81% of adults in 21911 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 21911, ~21% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 21911 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 21911 leans more Republican than 18 of 24 neighbors.
21911 runs about 77 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while 21911 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 21911 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 21911, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
21911 votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while 21911 runs about 77 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in 21911 are family households, above 89% of zip codes.
Never-married share and voter turnout
Places with a low never-married share tend to turn out at a higher rate; 21911, MD sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 21911 looks the way it does
Turnout in 21911 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.