23314 leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 82% of adults in 23314 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23314, ~36% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23314 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23314 leans more Republican than 31 of 36 neighbors.
23314 runs about 17 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 23314 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 23314. The east side is the most split-leaning (R+20) and the north side is the least split-leaning (R+2), a spread of about 17 points.
Why 23314 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 23314, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
23314 votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 23314 runs about 17 points more Republican.
Frequent mental distress and voter turnout
Places with a low frequent-mental-distress rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; 23314, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Reported mental distress does not drive turnout; it reflects economic and health conditions tied to voting.
Why turnout in 23314 looks the way it does
Turnout in 23314 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.