23322 leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 90% of adults in 23322 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23322, ~35% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23322 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23322 leans more Republican than 27 of 29 neighbors.
23322 runs about 27 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 23322 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 23322. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+39) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+7), a spread of about 32 points.
Why 23322 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 23322, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 80% of households in 23322 are family households, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but 23322 runs against that pattern. 23322 runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 23322, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 23322 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 23322 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in 23322 own their home, compared to around 65% in nearby zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.